Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison — Statistical Breakdown

Events/UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2/Steveson vs. Ellison

UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2·JUL 11, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NVHeavyweightPrelims · 3 rounds

Red corner

GableSteveson

Age26

Reachnot on record

Stanceorthodox

Rankingunranked

Heavyweight · 3 × 5

Blue corner

ElishaEllison

Age29

Reach78"

Stanceorthodox

Rankingunranked

Weight class

Heavyweight

Bout slot

Prelims

Format

3 × 5 min

Bout

An Olympic gold medalist meets a first-round finisher who has never had to wrestle — and has never had to breathe past the opening five minutes.

This is a statistical breakdown of publicly available fighter data. It is not a betting tip, not a guaranteed outcome, and not a recommendation to place any wager. Any decisions you make are your own.

The verdict

The read.

Statistical favorite, confidence and the confidence that frames it. The full why sits to the left.

Apex Scouter favorite · reviewed by analyst

the favorite

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Confidence0.0 / 10

Confidence reflects the strength of the statistical separation between the two fighters — not a betting signal.

Verdict confidence

YELLOW · MODERATE

Moderate statistical separation — a defensible lean with a live underdog path.

The verdict is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Context

The surrounding read.

The factors that frame the matchup beyond the metrics.

Strength

Strength of schedule

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Camps

Camp assessment

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Condition

Physical condition

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Vulnerability

KO vulnerability

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Key edges

Where the fight is decided.

The decisive factors behind the call, in plain terms.

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Context & key edges are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

The matrix

38-metric breakdown.

Grouped by weight. Lit side = the fighter holding the edge on that metric. Values are shown as reported — no fabricated magnitudes.

StevesonMetric · edgeEllison

Critical 7highest-weight metrics

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Important 17click to expand

Lorem incididuntEven

Sit quisEven

Exercitation adEven

Ipsum laboreEven

Labore adipiscingEven

Minim temporEven

Nostrud loremEven

Ad consecteturEven

Do consecteturEven

Incididunt ipsumEven

Ad consecteturEven

Ut minimEven

Quis ipsumEven

Exercitation sedEven

Minim incididuntEven

Lorem consecteturEven

Do veniamEven

Contextual 14click to expand

Minim exercitationEven

Enim minimEven

Dolore laboreEven

Sed utEven

Lorem temporEven

Aliqua elitEven

Lorem etEven

Dolore doEven

Dolore laboreEven

Lorem adEven

Veniam adipiscingEven

Labore laboreEven

Sit adEven

Sed incididuntEven

38 of 38 metrics · 7 critical · 17 important · 14 contextualValues shown as reported

The 38-metric matrix is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Style & risk

Style matchup & upset risk.

The stylistic axes, then the two questions that could break the call.

Style matchup

Steveson (red) · Ellison (blue) — pips scale to the larger value

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Risks for the favorite

Favorite

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How the underdog can win

Underdog

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Game plan

How the favorite wins.

The favorite's two routes to victory, most likely first.

Primary path

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Secondary path

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Style, risk & game plan are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Apex Scouter · reviewed by analyst