Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira — Fight Analysis

Events/UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi/Fili vs. Oliveira

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi·JUN 20, 2026·UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NVFeatherweightMain card · 3 rounds

Red corner

AndreFili

Age35

Reach74"

Stanceorthodox

Rankingunranked

Featherweight · 3 × 5

Blue corner

ViniciusOliveira

Age30, prime

Reach70.5"

Stanceswitch

Rankingwas #12 BW; unranked at FW

Weight class

Featherweight

Bout slot

Main card

Format

3 × 5 min

Bout

A long-armed survivor who lives on the scorecards meets a fresh finisher moving up to his real weight — does the chin hold, or does the pressure crack it?

This is a statistical breakdown of publicly available fighter data. It is not a betting tip, not a guaranteed outcome, and not a recommendation to place any wager. Any decisions you make are your own.

The verdict

The read.

Statistical favorite, confidence and the confidence that frames it. The full why sits to the left.

Apex Scouter favorite · reviewed by analyst

the favorite

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Criteria met2 met

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Confidence0.0 / 10

Confidence reflects the strength of the statistical separation between the two fighters — not a win probability and not a betting signal.

Verdict confidence

YELLOW · MODERATE

Moderate statistical separation — a defensible lean with a live underdog path.

The verdict is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Context

The surrounding read.

The factors that frame the matchup beyond the metrics.

Strength of schedule

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Camps

Camp assessment

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Physical condition

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KO vulnerability

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Key edges

Where the fight is decided.

The decisive factors behind the call, in plain terms.

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Context & key edges are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

The matrix

38-metric breakdown.

Grouped by weight. Lit side = the fighter holding the edge on that metric. Values are shown as reported — no fabricated magnitudes.

FiliMetric · edgeOliveira

Critical 7highest-weight metrics

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Quis incididuntEven

Dolor enimEven

Nostrud eiusmodEven

Veniam magnaEven

Important 17click to expand

Eiusmod consecteturEven

Veniam elitEven

Ad adEven

Eiusmod dolorEven

Tempor dolorEven

Enim ipsumEven

Sed utEven

Ut magnaEven

Tempor veniamEven

Sit aliquaEven

Exercitation utEven

Eiusmod utEven

Dolore ametEven

Eiusmod loremEven

Dolor temporEven

Exercitation adEven

Exercitation enimEven

Contextual 14click to expand

Labore ipsumEven

Minim magnaEven

Exercitation sedEven

Exercitation adEven

Adipiscing dolorEven

Quis ipsumEven

Sed adipiscingEven

Adipiscing eiusmodEven

Labore temporEven

Ipsum loremEven

Ipsum veniamEven

Tempor utEven

Et veniamEven

Veniam enimEven

38 of 38 metrics · 7 critical · 17 important · 14 contextualValues shown as reported

The 38-metric matrix is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Style & risk

Style matchup & upset risk.

The stylistic axes, then the two questions that could break the call.

Style matchup

Fili (red) · Oliveira (blue) — pips scale to the larger value

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ELIT ADIPISCING

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EXERCITATION DO

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ELIT SIT

Risks for the favorite

Favorite

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How the underdog can win

Underdog

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Game plan

How the favorite wins.

The favorite's two routes to victory, most likely first.

Primary path

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Secondary path

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Style, risk & game plan are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Apex Scouter · reviewed by analyst