Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos — Fight Analysis

Events/UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi/Rosa vs. Santos

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi·JUN 20, 2026·UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NVWomen's BantamweightPrelims · 3 rounds

Red corner

KarolRosa

Age31

Reach67.5"

Stanceorthodox

Ranking~#8

Women's Bantamweight · 3 × 5

Blue corner

LuanaSantos

Age26

Reach67"

Stanceorthodox

Ranking~#14

Weight class

Women's Bantamweight

Bout slot

Prelims

Format

3 × 5 min

Bout

#10

A relentless judo grappler walks down a battle-tested volume striker with an iron chin — whoever dictates where the fight happens takes it.

This is a statistical breakdown of publicly available fighter data. It is not a betting tip, not a guaranteed outcome, and not a recommendation to place any wager. Any decisions you make are your own.

The verdict

The read.

Statistical favorite, confidence and the confidence that frames it. The full why sits to the left.

Apex Scouter favorite · reviewed by analyst

the favorite

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Criteria met1 met

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Confidence0.0 / 10

Confidence reflects the strength of the statistical separation between the two fighters — not a win probability and not a betting signal.

Verdict confidence

YELLOW · MODERATE

Moderate statistical separation — a defensible lean with a live underdog path.

The verdict is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Context

The surrounding read.

The factors that frame the matchup beyond the metrics.

Strength of schedule

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Camps

Camp assessment

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Physical condition

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KO vulnerability

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Key edges

Where the fight is decided.

The decisive factors behind the call, in plain terms.

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Context & key edges are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

The matrix

38-metric breakdown.

Grouped by weight. Lit side = the fighter holding the edge on that metric. Values are shown as reported — no fabricated magnitudes.

RosaMetric · edgeSantos

Critical 7highest-weight metrics

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Enim dolorEven

Important 17click to expand

Magna incididuntEven

Nostrud adEven

Tempor exercitationEven

Elit etEven

Veniam ametEven

Consectetur exercitationEven

Sed eiusmodEven

Ut eiusmodEven

Amet aliquaEven

Minim enimEven

Ut exercitationEven

Tempor exercitationEven

Dolore dolorEven

Sed minimEven

Quis temporEven

Magna magnaEven

Nostrud laboreEven

Contextual 14click to expand

Et ametEven

Et doEven

Consectetur nostrudEven

Dolor sitEven

Elit eiusmodEven

Veniam adipiscingEven

Lorem utEven

Ipsum incididuntEven

Ad elitEven

Nostrud laboreEven

Elit ipsumEven

Eiusmod enimEven

Veniam minimEven

Incididunt eiusmodEven

38 of 38 metrics · 7 critical · 17 important · 14 contextualValues shown as reported

The 38-metric matrix is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Style & risk

Style matchup & upset risk.

The stylistic axes, then the two questions that could break the call.

Style matchup

Rosa (red) · Santos (blue) — pips scale to the larger value

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QUIS NOSTRUD

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Risks for the favorite

Favorite

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How the underdog can win

Underdog

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Game plan

How the favorite wins.

The favorite's two routes to victory, most likely first.

Primary path

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Secondary path

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Style, risk & game plan are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Apex Scouter · reviewed by analyst