Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez — Statistical Breakdown

Events/UFC Fight Night: Medic vs Rodriguez/Medić vs. Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs Rodriguez·AUG 1, 2026·Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, SerbiaWelterweightMain event · 5 rounds

Red corner

UrošMedić

Age33

Reach71"

Stancesouthpaw

Ranking#14

Welterweight · 5 × 5

Blue corner

DanielRodriguez

Age39

Reach74"

Stancesouthpaw

Ranking#15

Weight class

Welterweight

Bout slot

Main event

Format

5 × 5 min

Bout

Sixteen fights, zero scorecards, and now twenty-five minutes against a man who has never been finished by a puncher.

This is a statistical breakdown of publicly available fighter data. It is not a betting tip, not a guaranteed outcome, and not a recommendation to place any wager. Any decisions you make are your own.

The verdict

The read.

Statistical favorite, confidence and the confidence that frames it. The full why sits to the left.

Apex Scouter favorite · reviewed by analyst

the favorite

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Criteria met2 met

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Confidence0.0 / 10

Confidence reflects the strength of the statistical separation between the two fighters — not a betting signal.

Verdict confidence

YELLOW · MODERATE

Moderate statistical separation — a defensible lean with a live underdog path.

The verdict is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Context

The surrounding read.

The factors that frame the matchup beyond the metrics.

Strength

Strength of schedule

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Camps

Camp assessment

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Condition

Physical condition

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Vulnerability

KO vulnerability

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Key edges

Where the fight is decided.

The decisive factors behind the call, in plain terms.

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Context & key edges are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

The matrix

38-metric breakdown.

Grouped by weight. Lit side = the fighter holding the edge on that metric. Values are shown as reported — no fabricated magnitudes.

MedićMetric · edgeRodriguez

Critical 7highest-weight metrics

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Ad minimEven

Labore magnaEven

Amet utEven

Important 17click to expand

Labore adipiscingEven

Ipsum elitEven

Dolor consecteturEven

Quis enimEven

Nostrud minimEven

Ad temporEven

Consectetur aliquaEven

Ipsum eiusmodEven

Sit minimEven

Dolor doEven

Nostrud temporEven

Ad adipiscingEven

Ad eiusmodEven

Amet elitEven

Incididunt utEven

Elit laboreEven

Veniam temporEven

Contextual 14click to expand

Ut sitEven

Magna quisEven

Aliqua elitEven

Do elitEven

Et doEven

Adipiscing etEven

Enim minimEven

Tempor incididuntEven

Exercitation ipsumEven

Ipsum adEven

Incididunt eiusmodEven

Ad utEven

Labore ipsumEven

Tempor quisEven

38 of 38 metrics · 7 critical · 17 important · 14 contextualValues shown as reported

The 38-metric matrix is locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Style & risk

Style matchup & upset risk.

The stylistic axes, then the two questions that could break the call.

Style matchup

Medić (red) · Rodriguez (blue) — pips scale to the larger value

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Risks for the favorite

Favorite

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How the underdog can win

Underdog

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Game plan

How the favorite wins.

The favorite's two routes to victory, most likely first.

Primary path

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Secondary path

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Style, risk & game plan are locked

Create a free account to unlock previews — go Pro for the full 38-metric breakdown, verdict and game plan.

Apex Scouter · reviewed by analyst